U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590
202-366-4000
FHWA-SA-10-016
U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
FHWA Office of Safety
Washington, DC 20590
Final Report
Revised January 2010
Revised Assessment of Economic Impacts of Minimum Pavement Marking Retroreflectivity
Summary of Previous Assessment
Supporting Data for Revised Analysis
Appendix B: Mileage by AADT and Number of Lanes
Appendix C: Mileage by Speed Limit and Number of Lanes
1. Report No. FHWA-SA-10-016 |
2. Government Accession No. |
3. Recipient's Catalog No. |
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4. Title and Subtitle Revised Assessment of Economic Impacts of Implementing Minimum Levels of Pavement Marking Retroreflectivity |
5. Report Date January 2010 |
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6. Performing Organization Code |
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7. Author(s) H. Gene Hawkins, Jr., Matt Lupes, Greg Schertz, Cathy Satterfield, and Paul J. Carlson |
8. Performing Organization Report No. |
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9. Performing Organization Name and Address Texas Transportation Institute |
10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) |
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11. Contract or Grant No. Contract No. DTFH61-05-D-00025 |
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12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address Office of Safety |
13. Type of Report and Period Covered Summary Report |
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14. Sponsoring Agency Code |
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15. Supplementary Notes Research conducted under subcontract to SAIC as part of a contract with the U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration. |
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16. Abstract The Federal Highway Administration's retroreflectivity team prepared a revised assessment of the economic impacts for a proposed rulemaking initiative that would revise the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) to include minimum maintained levels of retroreflectivity for pavement markings. The revised assessment represents an update of the preliminary analysis that was prepared before the team developed the proposed MUTCD language. The retroreflectivity team used the proposed MUTCD language, along with data from the preliminary analysis and a series of assumptions related to marking applications, to calculate the number of miles of markings on a national basis that would be subject to compliance with the minimum retroreflectivity values. The team then calculated the current annual maintenance costs for these markings. Next, the team calculated the annual national costs associated with maintaining the markings to the minimum levels by adjusting the service lives of the markings in accordance with the applicable minimum retroreflectivity level. Using an assumption that the distribution of marking materials on a national basis is 75 percent paint, 20 percent thermoplastic, and 5 percent epoxy, the team calculated the annual nationwide costs of implementing two alternative minimum pavement marking retroreflectivity standards, based on reported public preferences. The increased costs of the two options (less stringent and more stringent) were estimated as $64 million and $126 million, respectively, or 3.2 percent and 6.3 percent of the current costs of $2 billion, respectively. Although the evidence of potential safety improvements remains limited, there is some reason to believe that the more stringent option would not generate commensurate benefits. Therefore, the less costly alternative is recommended. |
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17. Key Words Pavement markings, traffic control devices, retroreflectivity |
18. Distribution Statement No restrictions |
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19. Security Classification (of this report) Unclassified |
20. Security Classification (of this page) Unclassified |
21. No of Pages 20 |
22. Price N/A |
Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72)
Reproduction of completed page authorized.
In July 2008, the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) published a preliminary analysis of the economic impacts of implementing minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity (FHWA-SA-08-0101). That analysis provided an initial assessment of the potential economic impacts of including minimum levels of retroreflectivity in the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD). However, that analysis was conducted prior to finalizing the proposed MUTCD language for minimum pavement marking retroreflectivity. Once the FHWA determined the initial proposed MUTCD language for minimum marking retroreflectivity, the FHWA retroreflectivity team prepared a revised analysis of the economic impacts of minimum marking retroreflectivity. This document describes the findings of that analysis.
In December 2007, the FHWA published a final rule revising the MUTCD to address minimum levels of retroreflectivity for traffic signs. As that rulemaking effort was drawing to a conclusion, the FHWA began the preparation of a proposed rule for minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity. As part of that effort, the FHWA sponsored an effort to conduct a preliminary assessment of the economic impacts of minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity. This preliminary analysis was conducted before the completion of research to update the recommended minimum levels of retroreflectivity and before the FWHA had developed proposed MUTCD language for minimum marking retroreflectivity. As a result, the preliminary analysis was based on a general approach that assumed that the minimum retroreflectivity level would be based on speed and marking color.
To assess the economic impacts, researchers developed a spreadsheet-based analysis tool that calculates the costs associated with implementing minimum retroreflectivity levels. The spreadsheet considers the impacts of retroreflectivity levels, choice of materials, cost of materials, roadway types, and roadway mileage. The researchers used the analysis tool to assess the proposed minimum retroreflectivity levels and a more stringent alternative set of minimum levels. The analyses described in this report shows that the national economic impacts of implementing minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity increase pavement marking maintenance by $64 million based on the less stringent levels, or $126 million based on the more stringent alternative.
In October 2007, the FHWA published a report that presented updated research recommendations for minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity (FHWA-HRT-07-0592). This report contained the recommendations shown in Table 1 as the minimum levels of retroreflectivity. The research recommendations shown in this table define minimum levels of retroreflectivity on the basis of the type of roadway markings and on the presence of retroreflective raised pavement markers (RRPM). Because of the limited resources available for the research, the values in Table 1 can be considered a first cut and provide a starting point for the development of the values used in the proposed rule.
Roadway Marking Configuration | Without RRPMs | With RRPMs | ||
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≤50 mi/h | 55–65 mi/h | ≥70 mi/h | ||
Fully marked roadways (with center line, lane lines, and/or edgeline, as needed)* | 40 | 60 | 90 | 40 |
Roadways with center lines only | 90 | 250 | 575 | 50 |
In addition to the revised approach in defining minimum levels of retroreflectivity, the FHWA also began to develop the proposed MUTCD language for minimum levels of retroreflectivity. This language included provisions that excluded many pavement markings from complying with the minimum levels of pavement marking retroreflectivity. Appendix A presents the MUTCD language, including the minimum retroreflectivity levels presented in the proposed rule.
With both recommended minimum levels and proposed MUTCD language, the FHWA determined that the preliminary analysis did not adequately define the economic impacts of implementing minimum levels of retroreflectivity in the MUTCD. Therefore, the FHWA retroreflectivity team developed a revised assessment of the economic impacts.
The revised analysis began with the data that were assembled for the preliminary analysis and adapted it to the updated minimum retroreflectivity levels as adjusted by the FHWA retroreflectivity team for the proposed rulemaking, including both the MUTCD language and minimum retroreflectivity levels as presented in Appendix A.
The revised analysis procedure consisted of the following steps:
The analysis procedure described in the previous section utilized the following data in determining the economic impacts of minimum pavement marking retroreflectivity:
Functional Classification | Speed Range for a Given Cross Section (number of lanes) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 lane | 3 lane | 4+ lanes | ||||||
≤30 mph | 35–50 mph | ≥55 mph | ≤30 mph | 35–50 mph | ≥55 mph | 35–50 mph | ≥55 mph | |
Rural Interstate | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
Urban Interstate and Freeway/Expressway | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
Rural Principal Arterial | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
Urban Principal Arterial | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
Rural Minor Arterial | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Urban Minor Arterial | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Rural Major Collector | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
Rural Minor Collector | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Urban Collector | 75% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Rural Local | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Urban Local | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Material | Material Costs ($/LF) | |
---|---|---|
Federal/State Agencies | City/County Agencies | |
Paint | 0.06 | 0.15 |
Thermoplastic | 0.35 | 0.50 |
Epoxy | 0.30 | 0.60 |
Type of Road | Marking Material | Current Practice | Expected Service Life (months) for a Given Retroreflectivity Level | ||||||
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2 lane with Centerline only | All other roads | ||||||||
100 | 125C | 250 | 50 | 70C | 100 | 125C | |||
Freeway | paint | 12 | 12 | 12 | 4B | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
thermo | 36 | 24.7 | 19 | 6B | 52.5 | 44.8 | 24.7 | 19 | |
epoxy | 36 | 23.2 | 16.2 | 6B | 39.1 | 27.5 | 23.2 | 16.2 | |
ArterialA | paint | 12 | 12 | 12 | 4B | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
thermo | 36 | 21.5 | 18 | 6B | 40.9 | 31.8 | 21.5 | 18 | |
epoxy | 36 | 30.6 | 25.6 | 6B | 50.8 | 42.1 | 30.6 | 25.6 | |
Notes: |
Beyond the actual data, the retroreflectivity team also had to make a number of assumptions in order to complete the revised analysis. These assumptions are listed below.
Functional Classification | Percent of Roadway Mileage with: | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
LightingA | RRPMsB | |||
Rural | Urban | Rural | Urban | |
Interstate and Freeway/Expressway | 0% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
Principal Arterial | 0% | 15% | 10% | 10% |
Minor Arterial | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Major Collector | 0% | N/A | 10% | N/A |
Minor Collector | 0% | N/A | 0% | N/A |
Collector | N/A | 0% | N/A | 0% |
Local | Minimum retroreflectivity levels do not apply | |||
The approach used for the revised analysis had the following limitations associated with it:
Establishment of a uniform minimum level of nighttime pavement marking performance based on the visibility needs of drivers is expected to promote safety, enhance operations, and facilitate comfort and convenience for all drivers, especially older drivers. A report summarizing available information on the impacts of alternative retroreflectivity standards is "The Benefits of Pavement Markings: A Renewed Perspective Based on Recent and Ongoing Research" by Paul J. Carlson, Eun Sug Park, and Carl K. Andersen (Aug. 1, 2008)7.
So far, neither experienced crash rates nor such proxies as speed, lateral position, and detection distance have generated reliable conclusions regarding the safety benefits of markings. Problems in the design of experiments have indicated a need for continued research in this area. Meanwhile, surveys of public attitudes have indicated a subjective preference for a minimum of 80 to 130 mcd/m2/lux, more frequently in the upper part of the range. While driver reactions to retroreflectivity levels will certainly depend on weather, light conditions, speed, and roadway configuration, these factors require further study. Nevertheless, at this point, it is reasonable to accept the measured public preferences as the basis for a minimum standard.
Two alternatives have been considered. The lower represents a standard of 100 mcd/m2/lux for two-lane roads with centerline markings only and posted speeds of 35–50 mph and other roads with limits of 55 mph or more. A lower standard of 50 mcd/m2/lux is applicable to slower speeds on other roads, while a higher standard of 250 mcd/m2/lux is considered necessary for two-lane, high-speed roads. These figures are laid out in Table 3A-1 (Appendix A). The alternative represents an approximation to the higher range of public preferences, with values of 70, 125, and 250 mcd/m2/lux as shown in Table 3A-1A (Appendix A).
The costs of the revised economic assessment are based on an informal survey of the largest industry suppliers, resulting in an estimate of material use on a national basis of 75 percent paint, 20 percent thermoplastic, and 5 percent epoxy applied across all functional classifications. This distribution of materials implies an estimated cost of the less stringent alternative of $64 million, while that of the more stringent alternative is almost twice as great at $126 million. These represent annual nationwide maintenance costs, above the current expenditure level estimated in the report by Carlson et al. at $2 billion. They exclude costs of delay due to potential maintenance disruptions and the administrative costs of implementing the proposed rule. The implied percentage increases are thus 3.2 percent and 6.3 percent.
In considering the two alternatives, FHWA regards it as justified to discount the potential benefits of the higher range of standards consistent with subjective preferences. Driver perceptions of an adequate marking are more demanding than what recent FHWA research presents as meeting drivers' visibility needs at night, based on a preview time of 2.2 seconds. Although the more stringent alternative would provide greater visibility, the incremental gains in safety and mobility would be impossible to quantify with any degree of accuracy. Therefore, FHWA believes that the less stringent standard of Table 3A-1 would establish an appropriate minimum level of nighttime pavement marking performance for the motoring public at a supportable cost of $64 million.
Standard:
Public agencies or officials having jurisdiction shall use a method designed to maintain retroreflectivity of the following white and yellow longitudinal pavement markings, at or above the minimum levels in Table 3A-1:
Posted Speed (mph) | |||
---|---|---|---|
≤30 | 35–50 | ≥55 | |
Two-lane roads with centerline markings only2 | n/a | 100 | 250 |
All other roads2 | n/a | 50 | 100 |
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Support:
Compliance with the above Standard is achieved by having a method in place and using the method to maintain the minimum levels established in Table 3A-1. Provided that a method is being used, an agency or official having jurisdiction would be in compliance with the above Standard even if there are pavement markings that do not meet the minimum retroreflectivity levels at a particular location or at a particular point in time.
There are many factors for agencies to consider in developing a method of maintaining minimum pavement marking retroreflectivity including, but not limited to, winter weather, environmental conditions and pavement resurfacing.
Guidance:
Except for those pavement markings specifically identified in the Option below, one or more of the following methods, as described in the 2010 Edition of FHWA's "Summary of the MUTCD Pavement Marking Retroreflectivity Standard (see Section 1A.11)," should be used to maintain retroreflectivity of longitudinal pavement markings at or above the levels identified in Table 3A-1:
Option:
Public agencies or officials having jurisdiction may exclude the following markings from their minimum pavement marking retroreflectivity maintenance method(s) and the minimum maintained pavement marking retroreflectivity levels, but not from any requirements in Section 3A.02 to be retroreflective.
Posted Speed (mph) | |||
---|---|---|---|
≤30 | 35–50 | ≥55 | |
Two-lane roads with centerline markings only2 | n/a | 125 | 250 |
All other roads2 | n/a | 70 | 125 |
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AADT group | Number of Thru Lanes | All | ||||||||||||||
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1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | ||
Under 500 | 41 | 184,360 | 50 | 131 | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 184,589 |
500–1,999 | 218 | 269,132 | 605 | 1,671 | 3 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 271,633 |
2,000–4,999 | 145 | 209,301 | 2,090 | 10,861 | 30 | 72 | – | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 222,507 |
5,000–9,999 | 58 | 100,108 | 2,183 | 27,794 | 34 | 494 | 2 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 130,677 |
10,000–19,999 | 19 | 39,658 | 1,679 | 50,841 | 440 | 1,213 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 93,889 |
20,000–34,999 | 3 | 4,672 | 590 | 37,450 | 707 | 3,743 | 15 | 95 | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 47,286 |
35,000–54,999 | – | 183 | 77 | 13,730 | 372 | 4,486 | 63 | 205 | 1 | 3 | – | 2 | – | – | – | 19,120 |
55,000–84,999 | – | 5 | 4 | 3,781 | 192 | 3,481 | 66 | 462 | 1 | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | 8,008 |
85,000–124,999 | – | – | 3 | 572 | 72 | 2,761 | 107 | 619 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 22 | – | – | – | 4,228 |
125,000–174,999 | – | – | – | 37 | 8 | 1,373 | 93 | 899 | 62 | 172 | 4 | 45 | 3 | 1 | – | 2,697 |
175,000–249,999 | – | – | – | 4 | 0 | 131 | 23 | 697 | 75 | 293 | 17 | 84 | 1 | – | – | 1,325 |
250,000 and over | – | – | – | – | 3 | 3 | – | 67 | 18 | 191 | 1 | 54 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 363 |
Totals | 485 | 807,420 | 7,280 | 146,873 | 1,861 | 17,766 | 375 | 3,083 | 186 | 731 | 24 | 206 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 986,322 |
Data from Federal-aid Highway System, 2007. |
Volume Range | Mileage | Percentages | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes | 1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes | |
0-2999 | 523,567 | 1,352 | 5,472 | 64.81% | 18.56% | 3.20% |
3000+ | 284,338 | 5,928 | 165,665 | 35.19% | 81.44% | 96.80% |
Total | 807,905 | 7,280 | 171,137 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Volume Range | 1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes |
---|---|---|---|
0–2999 | 65% | 20% | 3% |
3000+ | 35% | 80% | 97% |
Posted Speed Limit | Mileage of Federal-aid highways | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Through Lanes | ||||||||||||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | All | |
5 | 9 | 1 | 10 | |||||||||||||
10 | 26 | 3 | 29 | |||||||||||||
15 | 1 | 552 | 553 | |||||||||||||
20 | 54 | 1,971 | 49 | 166 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2,247 | ||||||||
25 | 298 | 43,094 | 781 | 3,451 | 52 | 195 | 11 | 7 | 47,888 | |||||||
30 | 86 | 46,902 | 1,119 | 6,832 | 97 | 320 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 55,410 | |||||
35 | 20 | 70,970 | 1,102 | 17,463 | 221 | 1,735 | 28 | 56 | 2 | 91,596 | ||||||
40 | 8 | 51,159 | 348 | 12,333 | 262 | 2,272 | 23 | 89 | 2 | 66,495 | ||||||
45 | 3 | 73,245 | 811 | 17,411 | 366 | 2,991 | 22 | 250 | 2 | 0 | 95,101 | |||||
50 | 1 | 43,458 | 430 | 5,379 | 114 | 1,168 | 24 | 120 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 50,706 | ||||
55 | 14 | 364,136 | 1,953 | 26,552 | 277 | 2,851 | 107 | 682 | 55 | 153 | 8 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 396,835 |
60 | 25,938 | 194 | 4,026 | 58 | 1,086 | 57 | 419 | 29 | 90 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 31,910 | |||
65 | 49,589 | 359 | 24,047 | 348 | 3,505 | 89 | 1,148 | 90 | 474 | 12 | 152 | 4 | 17 | 79,836 | ||
70 | 35,627 | 108 | 20,145 | 62 | 1,561 | 8 | 266 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 57,789 | |||||
75 | 744 | 25 | 8,445 | 81 | 9,295 | |||||||||||
80 | 620 | 620 | ||||||||||||||
All | 485 | 807,420 | 7,280 | 146,873 | 1,861 | 17,766 | 375 | 3,083 | 186 | 731 | 24 | 206 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 986,322 |
Data from Federal-aid Highway System, 2007. |
Speed Limit | Mileage | Percentages | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes | 1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes | |
0–30 | 92,994 | 1,949 | 11,195 | 11.51% | 26.77% | 6.54% |
35–50 | 238,864 | 2,692 | 62,344 | 29.57% | 36.97% | 36.43% |
55–80 | 476,048 | 2,639 | 97,599 | 58.92% | 36.26% | 57.03% |
Totals | 807,905 | 7,280 | 171,137 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Speed Limit | 1 or 2 lanes | 3 lanes | 4 or more lanes |
---|---|---|---|
≤30 mph | 11.5% | 26.8% | 6.5% |
35–50 mph | 29.5% | 37.0% | 36.4% |
≥55 mph | 59.0% | 36.3% | 57.0% |